Central London / Submarket Analytics
West End Office Intelligence Platform
Leasing analytics and a backtested vacancy forecast across eight Central London office submarkets.
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Prime rent
£ per sq ft (latest quarter)
Forecast vacancy
Next quarter, model forecast
Latest take-up
sq ft leased (latest quarter)
Market health
out of 100
Investment signal
The West End, by submarket
Latest quarter. Hover for figures, click to load a submarket.
Vacancy rate
Ranked by vacancy
Vacancy vs prime rent
Recorded vacancy, the next four quarters forecast (dashed), and prime rent
Take-up momentum
Quarterly leasing volume (sq ft)
All submarket comparison — latest quarter
Prime rent and next-quarter forecast vacancy across all 8 tracked submarkets
Recent deals tracker
Notable transactions in this submarket
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Quarterly data breakdown
All data points for selected submarket
| Period | Prime rent (£ psf) | Vacancy rate | Model estimate | Take-up (sq ft) | Sentiment | Signal |
|---|
How the forecast works
A forecast is only worth something if it beats the obvious guess, so this one is tested the hard way.
1
What it predicts
Next quarter's change in vacancy for each submarket, from two signals: last quarter's change (momentum) and take-up against that submarket's own average. A ridge regression, rolled forward four quarters.
2
How it's tested
Walk-forward backtesting. For each past quarter the model is trained only on the quarters before it, then asked to predict it. 40 predictions in all.
3
How it scored
Off by 0.30 vacancy points on average, against 0.37 for assuming nothing changes. Small data, honest result, and the limits are written into the code.